Impact of an 8.2-kyr-like event on methane emissions in northern peatlands

Abstract

Rapid changes in atmospheric methane (CH4), temperature and precipitation are documented by Greenland ice core data both for glacial times (the so called Dangaard-Oeschger (DO) events) as well as for a cooling event in the early Holocene (the 8.2 kyr event). The onsets of DO warm events are paralleled by abrupt increases in CH4 by up to 250 ppbv in a few decades. Vice versa, the 8.2 kyr event is accompanied by an intermittent decrease in CH4 of about 80 ppbv over 150 yr. The abrupt CH4 changes are thought to mainly originate from source emission variations in tropical and boreal wet ecosystems, but complex process oriented bottom-up model estimates of the changes in these ecosystems during rapid climate changes are still missing. Here we present simulations of CH4 emissions from northern peatlands with the LPJ-Bern dynamic global vegetation model. The model represents CH4 production and oxidation in soils and transport by ebullition, through plant aerenchyma, and by diffusion. Parameters are tuned to represent site emission data as well as inversion-based estimates of northern wetland emissions. The model is forced with climate input data from freshwater hosing experiments using the NCAR CSM1.4 climate model to simulate an abrupt cooling similar to the widespread 8.2 kyr event. As a main result we get a concentration reduction of ~10 ppbv per degree K change of mean northern hemispheric surface temperature in peatlands. This sensitivity comprises effects on peatland emissions of similar size by the temperature itself as well as by the accompanying change in precipitation rate, hence water table. Comparison with the ice core record reveals that a change in boreal peatland emissions alone could not completely account for the 80 ppbv methane decline during the 8.2 kyr event, pointing to a significant contribution from tropical wetlands to this event.