Development and validation of a MRI-based combined radiomics nomogram for differentiation in chondrosarcoma

Abstract

Objective: This study aims to develop and validate the performance of an unenhanced magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-based combined radiomics nomogram for discrimination between low-grade and high-grade in chondrosarcoma. Methods: A total of 102 patients with 44 in low-grade and 58 in high-grade chondrosarcoma were enrolled and divided into training set (n=72) and validation set (n=30) with a 7:3 ratio in this retrospective study. The demographics and unenhanced MRI imaging characteristics of the patients were evaluated to develop a clinic-radiological factors model. Radiomics features were extracted from T1-weighted (T1WI) images to construct radiomics signature and calculate radiomics score (Rad-score). According to multivariate logistic regression analysis, a combined radiomics nomogram based on MRI was constructed by integrating radiomics signature and independent clinic-radiological features. The performance of the combined radiomics nomogram was evaluated in terms of calibration, discrimination, and clinical usefulness. Results: Using multivariate logistic regression analysis, only one clinic-radiological feature (marrow edema OR=0.29, 95% CI=0.11-0.76, P=0.012) was found to be independent predictors of differentiation in chondrosarcoma. Combined with the above clinic-radiological predictor and the radiomics signature constructed by LASSO [least absolute shrinkage and selection operator], a combined radiomics nomogram based on MRI was constructed, and its predictive performance was better than that of clinic-radiological factors model and radiomics signature, with the AUC [area under the curve] of the training set and the validation set were 0.78 (95%CI =0.67-0.89) and 0.77 (95%CI =0.59-0.94), respectively. DCA [decision curve analysis] showed that combined radiomics nomogram has potential clinical application value. Conclusion: The MRI-based combined radiomics nomogram is a noninvasive preoperative prediction tool that combines clinic-radiological feature and radiomics signature and shows good predictive effect in distinguishing low-grade and high-grade bone chondrosarcoma, which may help clinicians to make accurate treatment plans.