Systematic Evaluation of Rheumatoid Arthritis Risk by Integrating Lifestyle Factors and Genetic Risk Scores

Abstract

Background: Effective identification of high-risk rheumatoid arthritis (RA) individuals is still a challenge. Whether the combined effects of multiple previously reported genetic loci together with lifestyle factors can improve the prediction of RA risk remains unclear. Methods: Based on previously reported results and a large-scale Biobank dataset, we constructed a polygenic risk score (PRS) for RA to evaluate the combined effects of the previously identified genetic loci in both case-control and prospective cohorts. We then evaluated the relationships between several lifestyles and RA risk and determined healthy lifestyles. Then, the joint effects of healthy lifestyles and genetic risk on RA risk were evaluated. Results: We found a positive association between PRS and RA risk (OR = 1.407, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.354~1.463; HR = 1.316, 95% CI = 1.257~1.377). Compared with the low genetic risk group, the group with intermediate or high genetic risk had a higher risk (OR = 1.347, 95% CI = 1.213~1.496; HR = 1.246, 95% CI = 1.108~1.400) (OR = 2.169, 95% CI = 1.946~2.417; HR = 1.762, 95% CI = 1.557~1.995). After adjusting for covariates, we found protective effects of three lifestyles (no current smoking, regular physical activity, and moderate body mass index) on RA risk and defined them as healthy lifestyles. Compared with the individuals with low genetic risks and favorable lifestyles, those with high genetic risks and unfavorable lifestyles had as high as OR of 4.637 (95%CI = 3.767~5.708) and HR of 3.532 (95%CI = 2.799~4.458). Conclusions: In conclusion, the integration of PRS and lifestyles can improve the prediction of RA risk. High RA risk can be alleviated by adopting healthy lifestyles but aggravated by adopting unfavorable lifestyles.