Development and validation of a nomogram for predicting prostate cancer based on combining contrast-enhanced transrectal ultrasound and biparametric MRI imaging

Abstract

Objectives: This study was to explore the feasibility of combining contrast-enhanced transrectal ultrasound (CE-TRUS) with biparametric MRI (CEUS-BpMRI) score for diagnosing prostate cancer (PCa). Methods: A total of 183 patients with suspected PCa who underwent multiparametric MRI (Mp-MRI) and CE-TRUS were included. CEUS-BpMRI score was developed based on the results of Mp-MRI and CE-TRUS. The diagnostic performance was evaluated by the area under the curve (AUC). The diagnostic efficacy of the CEUS-BpMRI score, BpMRI score, and PI-RADS v2.1 score were compared. Total patients were randomly assigned to a training cohort (70%) or validation cohort (30%). A nomogram was constructed based on univariate and multivariate logistic regression. The model was evaluated by AUC and calibration curve. Results: The diagnostic performance of CEUS-BpMRI score (AUC 0.857) was comparable to that of PI-RADS v2.1 (AUC 0.862) (P = 0.499), and both were superior to Bp-MRI score (AUC 0.831, P < 0.05). In peripheral zone lesions with Bp-MRI score of 3, there was no statistically significant difference between PI-RADS v2.1 score (AUC 0.728) and CEUS-BpMRI score (AUC 0.668) (P = 0.479). Multivariate analysis showed that age, total prostate specific antigen/free prostate specific antigen (F/T), time to peak (TTP), and CEUS-BpMRI score were independent factors. The AUC of the nomogram was 0.909 in the training cohort and 0.914 in the validation cohort. Conclusions: CEUS-BpMRI score has high diagnostic efficacy for diagnosing PCa. A nomogram model established by combining age, F/T, TTP, and CEUS-BpMRI score can achieve the best predictive accuracy for PCa.