Some theoretical properties of conditional probability assessments

Abstract

We consider a finite family of conditional events and, among other results, we prove a connection property for the set of coherent assessments on such family. This property assures that, for every pair of coherent assessments on the family, there exists (at least) a continuous curve C whose points are intermediate coherent probability assessments. We also consider the compactness property for the set of coherent assessments. Then, as a corollary of connection and closure properties, we obtain the theorem of extension for coherent conditional probabilities. © Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2005.