An incremental-variable-based state enumeration method for power system operational risk assessment considering safety margin

Abstract

This paper proposes an incremental-variable-based state enumeration method (IVSE) for power system operation risk assessment and develops the risk indices considering the safety margin. Firstly, the traditional risk indices are modified to take into account the safety margin, which is defined as the virtual distance from the operational limits to the current normal operating point. Those indices can provide more potential risk information to operators for reasonable decision-making. Thereafter, an incremental- variable-based state enumeration is developed by utilizing the relationship between high order contingencies and low order contingencies. The proposed method is more efficient and accurate than traditional methods, which makes it more suitable for online application. Finally, case studies are performed on the IEEE-118 bus system. And results verify the accuracy and efficiency of the proposed method in various situations. In addition, it also can diagnose the weak points of the system, which can assist operators in online decision making.